2020 Elections

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Vrede too
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Re: 2020 Elections

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The Texas GOP Held Its Convention on Zoom—and It Was a Comic Disaster
When Texas Republicans gather for their biennial convention, it’s usually an impressive show of force. This time, it was an embarrassment.


... When the coronavirus first hit, both political parties in Texas faced the question of what to do about their conventions this summer. The Texas Democratic party didn’t take long to decide that the prudent thing to do would be to hold an online convention. The event, which officials spent months planning, went off in early June without a hitch, something the party has gloated about endlessly....
The entire article is hilarious, but for one example of how bad the Texas GOP Convention was:
... In the morning, chairman Dickey briefly appeared on a livestream in front of a makeshift set to announce that the party had decapitated him, and replaced him with Allen West, a former Florida congressman and tea party personality....
:lol:
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Vrede too
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Re: 2020 Elections

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Why Montana Is a Test Case for Democrats' Winning the Senate

PPP (D) poll, 7/9 - 7/10: Bullock (D) +2
Battle for the White House
RCP Poll Averages


RCP National Average Biden 50.6, Trump 41.3, Biden +9.3
Betting Odds Biden 60.8, Trump 36.5
Electoral College Biden 222, Trump 115

Battlegrounds

North Carolina Biden 48.0, Trump 45.0, Biden +3.0 :clap:
Florida Biden 50.5, Trump 42.7, Biden +7.8 :thumbup:
Wisconsin Biden 48.2, Trump 41.8, Biden +6.4
Pennsylvania Biden 50.2, Trump 42.8, Biden +7.4 :thumbup:
Arizona Biden 49.0, Trump 45.0, Biden +4.0

Congress

Battle for Senate Dems 46, GOP 47
U.S. House Dems 214, GOP 190
Generic Ballot Dems 48.4, GOP 39.8, Dem +8.6
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Vrede too
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Re: 2020 Elections

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"When you can make people believe absurdities, you can make them commit atrocities."
-- Voltaire

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GoCubsGo
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Re: 2020 Elections

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Vrede too wrote:
Tue Jul 28, 2020 6:08 pm
Reversing course, Trump suggests he'll be in North Carolina to accept GOP nomination for second term

Crap. On behalf of the state, I apologize.
I caught the q&a part of his "presser". He doesn't have a clue or a plan.
Situation Normal.
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GoCubsGo
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Re: 2020 Elections

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Encouraging.

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Vrede too
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Re: 2020 Elections

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GoCubsGo wrote:
Wed Jul 29, 2020 11:08 am
Encouraging.
Michigan: Trump vs. Biden

RCP Average 7/18 - 7/26, Biden +8.0

Maybe PINO's support for the armed rightwing, anti-masker, 'open up' terrorists did not go over well there.
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Re: 2020 Elections

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"When you can make people believe absurdities, you can make them commit atrocities."
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Re: 2020 Elections

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GoCubsGo wrote:
Wed Jul 29, 2020 11:08 am
Encouraging.
It's everywhere now.
Trump campaign pauses TV ad spending for 'review' of messaging strategy

... With less than 100 days until Election Day, the Trump campaign spent virtually nothing on television or radio ads on Wednesday and Thursday, according to data from Advertising Analytics. And it has effectively nothing booked through August.

Meanwhile, Joe Biden's campaign has spent $3.9 million over those two days and has another almost $6 million booked through the end of August....

As part of a broader strategy to shift the public's focus from to coronavirus to fears over crime and anarchy, the campaign has so far put most of its money behind a spot that attacks Biden over Democratic calls to "defund the police." Advertising Analytics data shows the campaign has spent almost $17 million to run the spot on broadcast and national cable since the beginning of July.
But Michigan was first:
... After spending hundreds of thousands of dollars a week running ads in Michigan through June and half of July, the campaign dropped that to just $78,000 for the week of July 14 and to less than $10,000 the week of July 21.

Recent polling from Fox News and CNN have found Trump trailing Biden by margins of 9 points and 12 points among registered voters in Michigan in recent days.

The campaign also had made other ad spending changes in the weeks before this pause, ramping up spending in Iowa, Georgia, Florida and Ohio since the middle of June.

While the Trump campaign has been off the airwaves, its allies haven't gone dark. America First Action, the campaign's top aligned super PAC, spent $1 million over the past two days, while Restoration PAC, another super PAC, has spent $360,000.

And the campaign still has the $146.6 million in general-election television and radio spending booked from Labor Day through Election Day.

But America First Action has been getting heavily outspent by other Democratic PACs in recent months, causing growing anxiety among Republicans. Democratic super PACs have spent almost four times as much on television and radio as America First, and the trend is set to continue, according to ad spending figures through the end of last week.
The Repugs best new "messaging strategy" would be for PINO to drop out and resign.
"When you can make people believe absurdities, you can make them commit atrocities."
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GoCubsGo
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Re: 2020 Elections

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They're asking each other how to make a shit sandwich appetizing.

And no one has a clue.
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billy.pilgrim
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Re: 2020 Elections

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I sure hope that I'm wrong, but I don't see Biden winning. It's 68 law and order all over again.

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Re: 2020 Elections

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billy.pilgrim wrote:
Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:32 pm
I sure hope that I'm wrong, but I don't see Biden winning. It's 68 law and order all over again.
How so? Was trump running in 68?
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O Really
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Re: 2020 Elections

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No, Trump is just having a pretend "law and order" phase as part of his effort to keep the base happy. But there are a lot of differences, starting with Dem candidate Humphrey having been part of the outgoing and unpopular administration. It would be like '68 if in '68 Johnson had been running for re-election and started abusing protesters to build his popularity. Neither of the major '68 candidates were widely hated, and then you had that pesky Wallace who actually won several states. And now, you've also got 60%+ generally supporting the BLM protesters.

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Vrede too
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Re: 2020 Elections

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billy.pilgrim wrote:
Thu Jul 30, 2020 11:32 pm
I sure hope that I'm wrong, but I don't see Biden winning. It's 68 law and order all over again.
My hope is that enough people are reading and accepting articles like this, and that the "review of messaging strategy" means that the scare campaign isn't working.

Protesters vary as much as their arrests, AP analysis shows

However, I won't make predictions on my hopes yet. Americans have let me down too many times.
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Re: 2020 Elections

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Image
https://www.yahoo.com/news/new-yahoo-ne ... 28759.html

Trump voters are planning their tantrums early.
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Re: 2020 Elections

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Seen on the other board, worth sharing.

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Re: 2020 Elections

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It begins..
"GOP major donors are redirecting money to the Senate races," said Fred Zeidman, a Republican donor from Texas. "The Senate is the firewall. We have got to make sure that we hold the Senate no matter who is elected president."
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Re: 2020 Elections

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GoCubsGo wrote:
Fri Jul 31, 2020 9:02 pm
It begins..
Too late for many Repugs, IMO.
How Joe Arpaio's Fate in Arizona Could Be a Window Into Trump's

After 24 years of doling out his punitive brand of justice in Arizona’s most populous county, Joe Arpaio, who billed himself as “America’s toughest sheriff,” suffered a landslide defeat in 2016, largely because of his hard-line immigration stances and his own pugnacious defiance, which earned him a criminal conviction for contempt of court.

Now he’s trying to win back his old job.

Arpaio faces his first test in the Republican primary election Tuesday, when he must survive a three-way race that includes a challenge from his former chief deputy, Jerry Sheridan....
Idk about reading too much into it about PINO. The people of Maricopa County know Joe all too well on his own. He's 88, this is just pathetic.
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Re: 2020 Elections

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Vrede too wrote:
Tue Aug 04, 2020 12:36 am
GoCubsGo wrote:
Fri Jul 31, 2020 9:02 pm
It begins..
Too late for many Repugs, IMO.
How Joe Arpaio's Fate in Arizona Could Be a Window Into Trump's

After 24 years of doling out his punitive brand of justice in Arizona’s most populous county, Joe Arpaio, who billed himself as “America’s toughest sheriff,” suffered a landslide defeat in 2016, largely because of his hard-line immigration stances and his own pugnacious defiance, which earned him a criminal conviction for contempt of court.

Now he’s trying to win back his old job.

Arpaio faces his first test in the Republican primary election Tuesday, when he must survive a three-way race that includes a challenge from his former chief deputy, Jerry Sheridan....
Idk about reading too much into it about PINO. The people of Maricopa County know Joe all too well on his own. He's 88, this is just pathetic.
This could be delicious irony.
There are signs that Arpaio, a former kingmaker in Republican circles, may not even survive the primary. Nearly 80% of Arizonans cast their ballots early by mail
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Re: 2020 Elections

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GoCubsGo wrote:
Tue Aug 04, 2020 12:41 am
This could be delicious irony.
There are signs that Arpaio, a former kingmaker in Republican circles, may not even survive the primary. Nearly 80% of Arizonans cast their ballots early by mail
I hope he barely wins the primary. It would pretty much assure a Dem win in Nov.
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Re: 2020 Elections

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Speaking of loser Repugs and Dem wishes for them:
GOP dread over possible Kobach nomination in Kansas

On Thursday, the top operative for Senate Republicans' campaign arm appeared on a private Zoom call organized by GOP operatives to discuss the party's efforts to stave off a Democratic takeover.

During the presentation, National Republican Senatorial Committee executive director Kevin McLaughlin warned that if hardline conservative Kris Kobach wins next Tuesday's Kansas Senate primary, it could doom the GOP Senate majority — and perhaps even hurt President Donald Trump in a state that hasn't voted Democratic since 1964.

“The Senate majority runs through Kansas,” McLaughlin warned, according to people familiar with the call.

The new warning came after a flurry of Democratic meddling has scrambled the closing weeks of a primary race that had otherwise gotten back on track. Senate Republicans have opposed Kobach for a year, fretting that he can’t win a Senate contest after losing the 2018 gubernatorial race, and have warned about him consistently in public and in private.

After failing to woo Secretary of State Mike Pompeo into the race, Republicans had mostly rallied behind Rep. Roger Marshall, who was leading Kobach comfortably in internal polling earlier in the summer. But after nearly $5 million was dumped in by a super PAC with ties to Democrats to elevate Kobach and bash Marshall’s image, Republicans acknowledge that the primary is a dead heat.

A Kobach victory would upend the battle for control of the Senate. Democrats haven't won a Senate race in Kansas since the 1930s, but with Kobach on the ballot, Republicans would be forced to sink millions into trying to defend a seat party officials believe should have stayed safely in their column.

Republicans are already stretched thin on a Senate map that features more than a half-dozen GOP incumbents in competitive races. GOP leaders concede the fight to keep the Senate has gotten harder in recent months but believe the party still can maintain control if it isn't dumping money into places like Kansas.

Democrat Barbara Bollier, a state senator and former Republican, faces only nominal opposition in her primary and has outraised all of her potential GOP foes....
It's sleazy and could backfire, but I won't cry if it leads to a Bollier win.
"When you can make people believe absurdities, you can make them commit atrocities."
-- Voltaire

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