2020 Elections

[Whack9]

Whack9, is this your family's district or are they more central NJ?

Here are the 11 House races to watch on Election Day

... Endangered GOP incumbents (3)

... New Jersey 02: (Party-switching GOP incumbent Jeff Van Drew is running against Democrat Amy Kennedy) ...

That's my family's district. My mom is voting for the first time in her life this year.

Will she be voting Dem? If so, she COULD be part of an historic seat flip and a blue wave.

One site: Toss-up

Sure will.

[Vrede too]

Sure will.

The 15 races that will decide the Senate, ranked

[GoCubsGo]

Any news/polls on NC 11?

[Vrede too]

Any news/polls on NC 11?

According to Moe 3 weeks ago:

LATEST POLL SHOWS MOE DAVIS SURGING IN NC-11 CONGRESSIONAL RACE

Colonel Moe Davis (USAF, Ret.), the Democratic nominee for Congress in North Carolina’s 11th District, has pulled ahead of Republican Madison Cawthorn in the latest polling by EMC Research in this once heavily gerrymandered district. Top-line data from the poll conducted Sept. 22-24 shows Col. Davis up by four points, 46-42, with just over a month to go before the election.

The poll, from a live telephone survey of 400 likely November 2020 voters in the 11th District, was conducted by professional interviewers with calls to both landlines and mobile phones and has a margin of error of ±4.9 percentage points....

538 a week ago gives it a 77% of staying Repug, near the bottom of its "The 50 House seats most likely to change parties in the 2020 election".
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/ou ... ain-seats/

I'm trying not to get my hopes up, but an upset seems possible.

We're getting so many NC/SC/US ads here - - that I'm not sure any are still effective. I hope Moe is employing other tactics, too.

[Vrede too]

Does the blatantly disgusting ACB confirmation push suggest that the Repugs have given up on holding the WH and Senate?

[GoCubsGo]

Does the blatantly disgusting ACB confirmation push suggest that the Repugs have given up on holding the WH and Senate?

Well yeah.

[O Really]

I'm thinking Cawthorn is basically a zombie attached to Trump's ass. If Trump carries the District, Cawthorn will likely be along for the ride. But as a couple of days ago, Davis was up a couple of points on him in the polls.

Even if one believed all of Cawthorn's backstory - much if not most of which is bullshit - it makes no sense to vote for him. The House is, without question, going to stay Dem majority and a first-term member of the opposite party (even if s/he were qualified and capable) is going to be relegated to counting pencils - if that. In effect, the District will not have a Representative. Even if you weren't happy with all his positions, Davis would have more opportunity to get something done for the District.

Are there any Republicans left who aren't drooling moon-barking bat-shit loons?

[neoplacebo]

Are there any Republicans left who aren't drooling moon-barking bat-shit loons?

I think there are just a handful, but those are drooling moon HOWLING batshit loons which is just as loony or more so.

[billy.pilgrim]

I'm thinking Cawthorn is basically a zombie attached to Trump's ass. If Trump carries the District, Cawthorn will likely be along for the ride. But as a couple of days ago, Davis was up a couple of points on him in the polls.

Even if one believed all of Cawthorn's backstory - much if not most of which is bullshit - it makes no sense to vote for him. The House is, without question, going to stay Dem majority and a first-term member of the opposite party (even if s/he were qualified and capable) is going to be relegated to counting pencils - if that. In effect, the District will not have a Representative. Even if you weren't happy with all his positions, Davis would have more opportunity to get something done for the District.

Are there any Republicans left who aren't drooling moon-barking bat-shit loons?

He's another matt gaetz, or maybe worse.

[Vrede too]

He's another matt gaetz, or maybe worse.

With my Meadows in the WH and Iowa's Steve King losing the primary, you can dream.

[Whack9]

Dayyum. I'm voting early. There's already a line with a few weeks to go. That's a good sign. People are out voting.

Fuck Lyndsey Graham.

[billy.pilgrim]

He's another matt gaetz, or maybe worse.

With my Meadows in the WH and Iowa's Steve King losing the primary, you can dream.

Dream?

Nightmare is more like it. This kid is rotten all the way through and so is matt.

[GoCubsGo]

Lots of optimistic polls today.

Georgia is definitely in play.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/#!

More.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/wi ... turn-blue/

[O Really]

West Virginia. Not in play, but Trump's margin is cut in half from last election.
https://thetriad.thebulwark.com/p/warni ... t-virginia

[Vrede too]

West Virginia. Not in play, but Trump's margin is cut in half from last election.
https://thetriad.thebulwark.com/p/warni ... t-virginia

Your link:

... 2016: Trump +42

... I am not saying that West Virginia is in play.

But I am here to tell you that if Trump is really only +23 in West Virginia right now, then November 3 is going to be an absolute bloodbath for Republicans....

RCP: Trump +14 - 18

"absolute bloodbath for Republicans."

[Vrede too]

Here are the prominent Republicans not supporting Trump, and those who are supporting Biden

It's a loooong list.

[GoCubsGo]

Here are the prominent Republicans not supporting Trump, and those who are supporting Biden

It's a loooong list.

Hate to say it, but a Shrub endorsement for Biden could really put this thing away.

[GoCubsGo]

The rats are bailing.....

[Whack9]

I've been flipping back and forth between the two town halls.

Trump is going off the rails.
Biden is killing it.

[Whack9]

Lol damn the NBC host is grabbing trump by the pussy.