Single hurricane thread

[Vrede too]

They keep straightening the turn to the east. It looks to me like somewhere between Panama City and the Ala Miss line.
Dann, that would be about Pensacola.

https://www.weather.gov/forecastmaps

Click on the animated forecast. The H currently centered over Colorado doesn't come south enough to push the storm to the east.

Still looks east of you to me, but landfall strengthened to Cat 3.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphi ... 0#contents
https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/ ... -storm-ian
Good luck.

Artemis is never going to launch.
https://blogs.nasa.gov/artemis/2022/09/ ... -continue/

[GoCubsGo]

They keep straightening the turn to the east. It looks to me like somewhere between Panama City and the Ala Miss line.
Dann, that would be about Pensacola.

https://www.weather.gov/forecastmaps

Click on the animated forecast. The H currently centered over Colorado doesn't come south enough to push the storm to the east.

Still looks east of you to me, but landfall strengthened to Cat 3.
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphi ... 0#contents
https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/ ... -storm-ian
Good luck.

Artemis is never going to launch.
https://blogs.nasa.gov/artemis/2022/09/ ... -continue/

Looks like it's predicted to turn more easterly. If Billy stays on the west side that bodies well.

[Vrede too]

They keep straightening the turn to the east....

Interesting, coincidentally timed 60 Minutes report tonight on FL's coral reefs, their importance in hurricane damage prevention, the amount lost - mostly due to AGW, and efforts to rescue and regenerate them.

[GoCubsGo]

They keep straightening the turn to the east....

Interesting, coincidentally timed 60 Minutes report tonight on FL's coral reefs, their importance in hurricane damage prevention, the amount lost - mostly due to AGW, and efforts to rescue and regenerate them.

This time tomorrow you're gonna be in the cone.

[Vrede too]

Interesting, coincidentally timed 60 Minutes report tonight on FL's coral reefs, their importance in hurricane damage prevention, the amount lost - mostly due to AGW, and efforts to rescue and regenerate them.

This time tomorrow you're gonna be in the cone.

Dammit, WNC needs coral reefs and mangroves.

... Meanwhile, Super Typhoon Noru stomped the Philippines last night, passing just north of Manila. Millions in the path, next up Vietnam.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/super-typhoo ... 37637.html

Cat 3 at landfall, Cat 3 again when it hits Vietnam Tues night.

[Vrede too]

This time tomorrow you're gonna be in the cone.

Yep, smack in the middle of the cone as a Tropical Depression. We might even get more rain than billy.pilgrim . Looking like Tampa will be on the dirty side of Cat 3 decreasing to a Cat 1, ugh.
https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/ ... -storm-ian

[billy.pilgrim]

https://www.weather.gov/forecastmaps


https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/day0-7loop.html
Cool animated 7 day forecast map

Last night it was the Big Bend area. Now it's looking more like cedar key

[GoCubsGo]

Still a tropical depression when it makes it's way to the WNC.

That'll bring down some trees and powerlines.

[Vrede too]

Still a tropical depression when it makes it's way to the WNC.

That'll bring down some trees and powerlines.

Cat 2 when it hits barely west of Tampa Thurs am, high tide at 4 am in the Bay, could be ugly.

Weather bro says 1-2" here, wunderground.com says up to 3" total over 3 days.
https://www.wunderground.com/forecast/u ... KNCHENDE56
Nothin' to sneeze at, but we've already seen worse this summer.

[Whack9]

Still a tropical depression when it makes it's way to the WNC.

That'll bring down some trees and powerlines.

Cat 2 when it hits barely west of Tampa Thurs am, high tide at 4 am in the Bay, could be ugly.

Weather bro says 1-2" here, wunderground.com says up to 3" total over 3 days.
https://www.wunderground.com/forecast/u ... KNCHENDE56
Nothin' to sneeze at, but we've already seen worse this summer.

That doesn't seem too bad. Weather app is saying 3-4 inches over a few days.

[Vrede too]

Cat 2 when it hits barely west of Tampa Thurs am, high tide at 4 am in the Bay, could be ugly.

Weather bro says 1-2" here, wunderground.com says up to 3" total over 3 days.
https://www.wunderground.com/forecast/u ... KNCHENDE56
Nothin' to sneeze at, but we've already seen worse this summer.

That doesn't seem too bad. Weather app is saying 3-4 inches over a few days.

Ian will now make landfall as a Cat 3 on Thur, passing SE of Tampa and hitting Orlando and even the FL east coast as a TS. Still aimed right at us as a TD on Sat - now over 3" in Hooterville.
https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/ ... ricane-ian

[Whack9]

Cat 2 when it hits barely west of Tampa Thurs am, high tide at 4 am in the Bay, could be ugly.

Weather bro says 1-2" here, wunderground.com says up to 3" total over 3 days.
https://www.wunderground.com/forecast/u ... KNCHENDE56
Nothin' to sneeze at, but we've already seen worse this summer.

That doesn't seem too bad. Weather app is saying 3-4 inches over a few days.

Ian will now make landfall as a Cat 3 on Thur, passing SE of Tampa and hitting Orlando and even the FL east coast as a TS. Still aimed right at us as a TD on Sat - now over 3" in Hooterville.
https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/ ... ricane-ian

What's that mean for me.

[Vrede too]

What's that mean for me.

Over 2" of rain total, with most of the rain and wind on Fri. TDs have sustained winds < 39 mph.
https://www.wunderground.com/forecast/us/sc/greenville

Worse to the south, of course. Weather bro says it could be a Cat 4 when it hits FL.

This is why the Gulf Coast -- especially Florida -- is so vulnerable to hurricanes, storm surge
Hurricane Ian could bring between 5 and 8 feet of storm surge to Tampa Bay.



Article also includes cool 1" video of Ian from the ISS.

[Whack9]

What's that mean for me.

Over 2" of rain total, with most of the rain and wind on Fri. TDs have sustained winds < 39 mph.
https://www.wunderground.com/forecast/us/sc/greenville

Worse to the south, of course. Weather bro says it could be a Cat 4 when it hits FL.

This is why the Gulf Coast -- especially Florida -- is so vulnerable to hurricanes, storm surge
Hurricane Ian could bring between 5 and 8 feet of storm surge to Tampa Bay.



Article also includes cool 1" video of Ian from the ISS.

That don't sound too bad. I'm flying home Saturday. Just Looking forward to some good ol fashioned shitty American food. Ugh. What I would do for a corn dog

[GoCubsGo]

What's that mean for me.

Over 2" of rain total, with most of the rain and wind on Fri. TDs have sustained winds < 39 mph.
https://www.wunderground.com/forecast/us/sc/greenville

Worse to the south, of course. Weather bro says it could be a Cat 4 when it hits FL.

This is why the Gulf Coast -- especially Florida -- is so vulnerable to hurricanes, storm surge
Hurricane Ian could bring between 5 and 8 feet of storm surge to Tampa Bay.



Article also includes cool 1" video of Ian from the ISS.

My high school home is going to be gone.

[Vrede too]

My high school home is going to be gone.

North Port or Cape Coral, FL? The track keeps shifting east, now going out over the Atlantic, but Hooterville remains in the crosshairs, regardless.
https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/ ... ricane-ian

My uninformed prediction: Ian restrengthens over the Atlantic and makes GA/SC landfall as a hurricane.

[GoCubsGo]

My high school home is going to be gone.

North Port or Cape Coral, FL? The track keeps shifting east, now going out over the Atlantic, but Hooterville remains in the crosshairs, regardless.
https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/ ... ricane-ian

My uninformed prediction: Ian restrengthens over the Atlantic and makes GA/SC landfall as a hurricane.

Longboat Key, barrier island off of Sarasota.

A whopping three or four feet above sea level.

[Vrede too]

My high school home is going to be gone.

North Port or Cape Coral, FL? The track keeps shifting east, now going out over the Atlantic, but Hooterville remains in the crosshairs, regardless.
https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/ ... ricane-ian

My uninformed prediction: Ian restrengthens over the Atlantic and makes GA/SC landfall as a hurricane.

Longboat Key, barrier island off of Sarasota.

A whopping three or four feet above sea level.

Ugh, Wiki says "Elevation 3 ft (1 m)", ABC above says storm surge 5-12 feet. Sorry.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Longboat_Key,_Florida

Yep, Tropical Storm Ian rather than Hermine. Up to a Cat 4 , but in theory just a Cat 1 when it strikes in billy.pilgrim's hood. That's the American model. The European model says Tampa gets smacked by a Cat 3....

Maybe I just notice it more, but it feels like the European model is always more correct. This has been going on for years. If so, what aren't they fixing the American model?

[Vrede too]

Cat 4 Englewood/Rotonda West
https://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/ ... ricane-ian
High tide 4:34 pm, I think right around landfall of the eye.
https://tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/noaat ... id=8725747
Maybe still a Cat 1 when it hits Orlando.
7 am article:
https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/ne ... torm-surge
"Ian should remain at least Category 4, but could make an extremely rare Category 5 landfall this afternoon."

[GoCubsGo]

Maybe I just notice it more, but it feels like the European model is always more correct. This has been going on for years. If so, what aren't they fixing the American model?